Copyright © 2016 The Philip Merrill Center for Strategic Studies

 The Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS)

The Johns Hopkins University

The Philip Merrill Center for Strategic Studies

1619 Massachusetts Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20036

202.663.5911

Advanced Strategy Program

Strategy in the Asia-Pacific Region

May 8-19, 2017

AGENDA

Monday, May 8

The Setting: The United States in Asia

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 10:00 AM             Welcome and Course Overview

Tom Mahnken, SAIS and CSBA

10:00 AM – 11:15 AM               U.S. Interests in Asia

Hal Brands, SAIS and CSBA

11:15 AM – 11:45 AM                 Break

11:45 AM – 1:00 PM                 The U.S. Military Experience in the Pacific

Tom Keaney, SAIS

1:00 PM – 2:00 PM                  Lunch

2:00 PM – 3:30 PM                  U.S. Strategy in Asia

Tom Mahnken, SAIS and CSBA

 

Tuesday, May 9

The Setting: Asia's Strategic Landscape

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 9:30 AM                      Reflection Session

 

9:30 AM – 10:45 AM                     Asia’s Economic Geography

                                                             Michael R. Aulsin, AEI

 

10:45 AM – 11:15 AM                     Break

 

11:15 AM – 12:30 PM                      Asia's Demography

                                                             Nick Eberstadt, AEI

12:30 PM – 1:30 PM                       Lunch

1:30 PM – 2:45 PM                        Asia's Strategic Geography

                                                            Toshi Yoshihara, CSBA

  

2:45 PM – 3:15 PM                         Break

3:15 PM – 5:00 PM                        A Conversation with Kelly Magsamen, former PDASD (APSA)                                                    

Wednesday, May 10

The Actors: Asia's Great Powers

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 9:30 AM                    Reflection Session

 

9:30 AM – 10:45 AM                   Chinese Leadership Dynamics

                                                           David M. Lampton, SAIS

10:45 AM – 11:15 AM                    Break

11:15 AM – 12:30 PM                     Chinese Military Modernization

                                                            Toshi Yoshihara, CSBA

12:30 PM – 1:30 PM                       Lunch

 

1:30 PM – 3:00 PM                        Chinese Seapower 

                                                             Toshi Yoshihara, CSBA

3:00 PM – 3:30 PM                        Break

 

3:30 PM – 5:00 PM                        Japan's Changing Role in Asia

                                                             Kent Calder, SAIS

 

 

Thursday, May 11

The Actors: Regional Dynamics

Rome 534

9:00 AM – 9:30 AM                   Reflection Session

 

9:30 AM – 10:45 AM                  Sino-Japanese Relations

                                                          Toshi Yoshihara, CSBA

 

10:45 AM – 11:15 AM                   Break

 

11:15 AM – 12:30 PM                    India's Role in Asia

                                                          Walter Anderson, SAIS 

 

12:30 PM – 1:30 PM                     Lunch

 

1:30 PM – 3:00 PM                      Southeast Asia's Changing Dynamics

                                      Karl Jackson, SAIS

 

3:00 PM – 3:15 PM                       Break

 

3:15 PM – 4:30 PM                       Resources and Territorial Disputes in Southeast Asia

                                                           Marvin Ott, SAIS

 

 

Friday, May 12

Concepts

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 9:30 AM                Reflection Session

 

9:30 AM – 10:45 AM               Long-Term Competition

                                                       Tom Mahnken, SAIS and CSBA

 

10:45 AM – 11:15 AM                Break

 

11:15 AM – 12:30 PM                 Military Innovation

                                                        Tom Mahnken, SAIS and CSBA

 

12:30 PM – 1:30 PM                   Lunch

 

1:30 PM – 2:45 PM                    Future Operational Concepts 

                                                         Jan van Tol, CSBA

  

2:45 PM – 3:15 PM                     Break

 

3:15 PM – 5:00 PM                    A Conversation with General Jack Keane, USA (Ret.)

 

 

Monday, May 15

Technology

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 9:30 AM                Reflection Session

 

9:30 AM – 10:45 AM               Future Military Technology I

                                                       Bryan Clark, CSBA

 

10:45 AM – 11:15 AM                Break

 

11:15 AM – 12:30 PM                 Future Military Technology II

                                                       Mark Gunzinger, CSBA

 

12:30 PM – 1:30 PM                  Lunch

 

1:30 PM – 3:00 PM                   Discussion: Implications of technological change for Asia

                                                       Mark Gunzinger and Bryan Clark, CSBA

 

3:00 – 3:30 PM                           Break

 

3:30 – 5:00 PM                           A Conversation with Eliot Cohen, former Counselor of the Department of State

 

 

Tuesday, May 16

The Instruments of Strategy: Economics

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 10:15 AM              Economic Trends in Asia

                                                      Julian Snelder, CSBA

 

10:15 AM – 10:30 AM             Break

 

10:30 AM – 11:45 PM             Understanding the Defense Budget

                                                     Katherine Blakeley, CSBA

 

11:45 PM – 1:00 PM               Working Lunch: Introduction to Strategic Choices Exercise  

                                                     Jacob Cohn, CSBA

 

1:00 PM – 5:00 PM                 Strategic Choices Exercise

                                                      Jacob Cohn, CSBA

 

 

Wednesday, May 17

The Instruments of Strategy: Domestic Actors

Rome 806

9:00 AM – 10:00 AM              Discussion on Strategic Choices Exercise

 

10:00 AM – 11:00 AM             Congress

                                                       Charlie Stevenson, SAIS

 

11:00 AM – 11:15 AM                Break

 

11:15 AM – 12:30 PM                The State Department and American Diplomacy

                                                       Eric Edelman, SAIS and CSBA

 

12:30 PM – 1:30 PM                  Lunch

 

1:30 PM – 2:45 PM                   The Intelligence Community

                                                       John McLaughlin, SAIS

 

2:45 PM – 3:15 PM                   Break

 

3:15 PM – 5:00 PM                   A Conversation with former Congressman Randy Forbes

 

 

Thursday, May 18

Rome 200/203

9:00 AM – 5:00 PM                 Asia-Pacific Alternative Strategies Game

                                                        Jan van Tol, CSBA

                                               

 

Friday, May 19

Rome 200/203

9:00 AM – 11:00 AM              Asia-Pacific Alternative Strategies Game

                                                       Jan van Tol, CSB

 

11:00 AM – 11:30 AM              Final Thoughts

 

11:30 AM – 12:00 PM              Awarding of Certificates